[许愿帖] adv 三抽最后一抽,希望能有奇迹

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table526
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adv 三抽,也是最后一抽。希望这次自己能有好运。

Plan B 是transfer到公司加拿大office,一年后再以L1回美国office。这一年多的时间要和妹子异国了。

再分享一下我的分析吧。根据Slack群的最新数据,59k的cases已经被process了:
updated numbers as of now are as below:
EAC = 29,386
WAC = 29,874
Total = 59,260
- Updated at 3:30 PM EST

根据IG今天公布的数据,可以相信adv case是先于non-adv case处理的:
  • We have received I-797 receipt notices in 42% of our cases filed as AD/VT (Advanced Degree-masters / Vermont Service Center)
  • We have received I-797 receipt notices in 45% of our cases filed as AD/CA (Advanced Degree-masters / California Service Center)
  • We have received I-797 receipt notices in 0% of our cases filed as non-AD/VT (Regular-bachelors / Vermont Service Center)
  • We have received I-797 receipt notices in 0% of our cases filed as non-AD/CA (Regular-bachelors / California Service Center)
今年adv applicants一共有95k,所以可以认为基本上接近所有adv case都已经处理完了 (59k / 95k = 62%, 接近今年adv的中签率)。但是receipt一般在处理完5天及以后才会被收到,所以现在没收到的同学也不用着急,可以再等等,还是很有机会的。

对于像我一样cap-gap的adv申请,如果sevp还没更新,抽中的概率会更小一些。但是最近地里报了很多sevp不更新也收到receipt的例子,所以我们也还是有希望的。

从上周开始就慢慢接受了今年也可能抽不中的结果,现在心态还是挺好的,如果抽中了就当是bonus。抽签只是人生中的一个岔路口,塞翁失马,焉知非福。
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